“The transition process may take a long time, but the contours of a multipolar world order have already emerged,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said in his speech. According to him, events are already developing very dynamically, previous attitudes are being tested and Western politicians are already recognizing that unipolarity has sunk into oblivion. But this does not mean at all that they are also ready to admit defeat. “The West is trying with all its might to preserve the remnants of its rule, resorting to openly neocolonial methods, to continue making the best of world trade, economy and politics,” explained the Russian minister. Forum participants attempted to look beyond the horizon to understand exactly what this new world order would look like.
According to Federation Council Vice President Konstantin Kosachev, “multipolarity is a truly liberal order,” noting that it is the West, despite all its rhetoric, that is now behaving in an extremely authoritarian manner.
And globalization, led by Western elites, has failed to address the main demand of the world community: equality and justice. And the new structure of the world will no longer be determined by the elite club of Western countries, but by the “world majority”: the countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America are increasingly aware of their interests and are ready to defend them. . . “A rebellion against the US-centered model of globalization is developing before our eyes, a completely democratic rebellion,” Kosachev is sure.
A partnership between Russia and Europe is also very possible, but now it will not be as important as in the past.
Russia found itself at the crest of this rebellious wave and it is no coincidence: like many other countries, it realized both its interests and the fact that its development goals can only be achieved in a new model of world order. “For three hundred years, Europe has been an example to follow, a role model for Russia. But this period has already passed,” said IMEMO RAS President Alexander Dynkin, noting that the future of Russia is a self-sufficient North, a partner . of Greater Eurasia and the Global South. Partnership with Europe is also very possible, but it will no longer be as important as in the past. And the Europeans themselves are the main culprits for this. According to Lavrov, they have undermined his reputation and negotiating ability, so Russia will now “think ten times” before restoring relations.
“There is a growing understanding in the world that no one is immune from the aggressive actions of Brussels and Washington,” Lavrov believes. The countries of the world majority are ready to cooperate with the EU and the USA, but not to the detriment of their interests. At the same time, they are also willing to show a position of solidarity, as can be seen right now in relation to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Thus, a new actor appears on the world stage, the global majority, and his ambitions are backed by economic opportunities. The European Union is experiencing deindustrialization and is sinking deeper into crisis, as many participants in the forum noted. “Europe avoided an economic catastrophe, but at the cost of a huge injection of budget money into the economy. At the same time, the crisis continues,” says IMEMO deputy director Stanislav Zhukov. A sign of the continuation of the crisis, according to him, is the increase in poverty, including energy poverty. And European leaders themselves are claiming that the continent’s era of economic abundance is over.
The break with Europe and the West was not an easy test for Russia, but the country generally overcame it, including in the energy sector. The topic of energy was discussed on Monday in the first session of the forum and speakers noted that new markets for Russian energy, such as the Indian one, are opening up, new transport routes are being built and new payment principles that exclude the dollar .
According to the special representative of the Russian president for environmental, ecological and transport issues, Sergei Ivanov, access to the open sea – Murmansk with the Northern Sea Route and the Far East, which allows unhindered maritime trade – is becoming especially important. for Russia. The Baltic, which until recently received greater attention, is now losing importance, also due to the risk of blocking the Danish Strait. But, according to IMEMO deputy director Vladimir Milovidov, the fight over sanctions is far from over. Frustrated by the ineffectiveness of its attempts to strangle the Russian economy, the West could well seek to strengthen secondary sanctions, including to block new logistical routes. And this, according to the expert, is one of the main risks for the world energy market.
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